Lost-Pick
0x082d119754bb974aeea8b2b980ee5d0ef30b3c7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$7.61
Total PnL
$-16.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.61
$-1.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
6969 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
4778 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
4674 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2337 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2334 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2316 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2268 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
2258 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.46Mar 20, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$9.55Mar 20, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?$9.54Feb 4, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?$1.06Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.27Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.32Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$1.85Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.94Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?$1.00Jan 8, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.90Dec 15, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.25Dec 9, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$1.30Dec 2, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.80Nov 25, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.27Nov 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$25.50Nov 13, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.4KNov 13, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.1KNov 13, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$140.00Nov 13, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.2KNov 13, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.1KNov 13, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $611.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".