Grimy-Misrepresentation
0x08318851b0c546e3cbaa78fca8a50c1985f6dce1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.81
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$46.07
Win rate
50%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.51
$-4.51
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-2.70
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
12325 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-24.65
- YES
Will someone else be inaugurated?
4961 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-110.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?
4080 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-92.96
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2230 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.69
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23?
1551 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-60.64
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
1358 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?
1329 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-37.20
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1167 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.30Jun 11, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC?$12.39May 30, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$52.37May 28, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?$19.90May 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$17.50May 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$12.50May 21, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?$14.75May 6, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$9.59May 6, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$24.65Apr 26, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23?$30.15Apr 22, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?$8.00Apr 22, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$38.15Apr 22, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?$4.59Apr 22, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 23?$35.00Apr 22, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 23?$10.00Apr 22, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?$49.59Apr 22, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?$4.82Apr 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 20-26?$20.00Apr 20, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 25?$10.00Apr 20, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24?$40.00Apr 20, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $39.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.