Carefree-March
0x083c237f5f756897407d9051453b1a725acd1c24
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $250 on September 13?
13 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 10?
5 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on September 14?
4 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 13?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $250 on September 13?$1.00Sep 13, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,800 on September 14?$1.00Sep 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 13?$1.00Sep 13, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?$1.00Sep 13, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 11?$0.00Sep 12, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 11?$1.89Sep 12, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 11?$1.00Sep 11, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 11?$1.00Sep 11, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $112K on September 10?$4.16Sep 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $112K on September 10?$1.00Sep 10, 01:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".