Stupendous-Quail
0x0844b5d14332a8d73cd0ee567439781ceeae09f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$6.39
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
1871 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1855 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
1208 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
738 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
526 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
374 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.97
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
352 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
227 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.39Mar 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.38Mar 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$3.58Mar 16, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$3.58Mar 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$4.78Mar 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$5.00Mar 15, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$9.78Mar 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$5.44Mar 11, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.00Mar 8, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$5.43Mar 8, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$73.26Mar 4, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$5.00Mar 1, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Mar 1, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.26Mar 1, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.35Mar 1, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.