Woozy-Meatloaf
0x0848bf4688260b00fa1a8c979c8711b33235503a
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-641.87
Win rate
32%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 10?
500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on March 10?
339 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.85
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Nuggets
253 shares @ 86.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-217.88
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Heat
182 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-70.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on March 16?
171 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 23?
167 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- CELTICS
Timberwolves vs. Celtics
154 shares @ 84.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$33.33Jul 24, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$20.40Jul 24, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$27.78Jul 23, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics$100.86Jul 23, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?$2.94Jul 23, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?$20.35Jul 23, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$20.28Jul 23, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5.32Jul 22, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$144.93Jul 22, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWashington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies$13.26Jul 22, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies$20.28Jul 22, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$101.55Jul 22, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLAthletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$9.26Jul 21, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies$36.64Jul 21, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLDetroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs$15.09Jul 21, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$20.29Jul 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels$20.34Jul 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies$20.45Jul 21, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDetroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs$20.42Jul 21, 01:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $20.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.