Polite-Individual
0x0849d25289cbb8d00b2958bc1972603be1afbb6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.12
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.12
$1.93
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?
3684 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-335.00
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 25, 2026?
236 shares @ 84.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?
113 shares @ 70.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-79.77
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
113 shares @ 88.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
21 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
21 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$849.96Apr 21, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$229.07Apr 20, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1.6KApr 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$401.03Apr 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$100.00Apr 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$100.00Apr 17, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$100.00Apr 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$12.99Apr 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$200.00Apr 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$100.00Apr 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$100.00Apr 17, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$64.94Apr 17, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$10.00Apr 17, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$100.00Apr 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$100.00Apr 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$100.00Apr 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$100.00Apr 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 16, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$100.01Apr 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$10.87Apr 16, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $217.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 04:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.