Cluttered-Watch
0x084e4814ef7cede3dbc2040ca1485bba3b42b618
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$64.94
Total PnL
$-785.62
Realised
$-137.05
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
65 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$64.94
$14.94
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
678 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-509.00
- YES
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
394 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.10
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
194 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
55 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-38.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $3.60 in August?$13.33Aug 24, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $4.50 in August?$1.09Aug 24, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national XRP reserve in 2025?$18.54Aug 24, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Aug 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLAstronomer Divorce Parlay$11.79Aug 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$20.00Aug 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$50.00Aug 11, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$29.00Aug 11, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $4.00 in August?$28.78Aug 11, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$200.00Aug 7, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.00Aug 7, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$40.00Aug 7, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$429.31Aug 7, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.60 in August?$20.00Aug 7, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in August?$10.00Aug 7, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.50 in August?$5.00Aug 7, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.60 in August?$20.00Aug 7, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$40.35Aug 7, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.50 in August?$7.00Aug 7, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.60 in August?$40.00Aug 7, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $22.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 24, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.