Black-Rain
0x08514f8c96d7b436a492b47a3511db239d39ad94
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.89
Total PnL
$-18.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- IOWA ST
CFB: Iowa State vs. Kansas
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- ALABAMA
Alabama vs. Indiana
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$2.04Jan 6, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.41Jan 6, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMOregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$2.00Jan 3, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMOle Miss vs. Georgia$3.03Jan 3, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$2.12Jan 1, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$20.28Jan 1, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss vs. Georgia$1.00Jan 1, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlabama vs. Indiana$1.00Jan 1, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYOregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$1.00Jan 1, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$2.00Dec 19, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$3.00Dec 19, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$20.00Dec 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.00Dec 19, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$2.00Nov 27, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?$2.00Nov 27, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Nov 26, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$3.16Nov 10, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2.00Nov 6, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$2.00Oct 23, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$2.00Oct 23, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.