Impartial-Event
0x085587e00cb4264741125f7f9e49e6b5122fac44
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.63
Realised
$0.37
Win rate
5%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 1PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6AM ET
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
12 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
11 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.07Jun 14, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.10Jun 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.01Jun 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.06Jun 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.05Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Jun 1, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.06Jun 1, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.05Jun 1, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Jun 1, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.07Jun 1, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.06Jun 1, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.66Jun 1, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.04Jun 1, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jun 1, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.01Jun 1, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Jun 1, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$1.05Jun 1, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.