Sizzling-Raffle
0x0857cf3e7ddd271a5adf6aad3819b811a1654b96
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$34.20
Total PnL
$-3.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$11.70
$0.70
- YES
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
11 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$11.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$3.49
$0.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 20?
3 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$3.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$2.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?$2.00Sep 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$2.00Sep 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27?$3.00Sep 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?$11.00Sep 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on September 20?$3.00Sep 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?$11.00Sep 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?$2.00Sep 16, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$5.06Sep 16, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$12.36Sep 16, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? $16.88Sep 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?$5.00Jul 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$1.00Jul 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? $12.00Jul 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$3.00Jul 25, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$11.00Jul 25, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMMLB: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers 2023-04-18$1.0KApr 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLB: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers 2023-04-18$1.0KApr 17, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMMLB: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-04-04$1.2KApr 5, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMLB: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles 2023-04-04$1.0KApr 4, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMArbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch?$1.0KApr 4, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $210.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 21:33 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 20:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".