Near-Stamen
0x08603ca18c30ac3701c16b42453f36553ca8bf33
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 December 29-January 4?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.95
- YES
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-06?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will FC Metz vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Metz vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?$1.00Feb 19, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Metz win on 2026-02-06?$1.00Feb 19, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?$29.90Feb 19, 13:36 UTC
- SPLITWill the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the February Meeting?$29.90Jan 26, 12:34 UTC
- SPLITWill FC Metz vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?$1.00Jan 26, 12:33 UTC
- SPLITWill FC Metz win on 2026-02-06?$1.00Jan 26, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?$3.0KJan 14, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?$3.0KJan 13, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?$2.0KJan 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?$216.90Jan 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?$795.47Jan 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 12?$3.0KJan 12, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 10?$3.0KJan 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 10?$3.0KJan 10, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$3.0KJan 9, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 8?$3.0KJan 7, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 5?$3.0KJan 7, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 5?$3.0KJan 3, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 December 29-January 4?$15.00Jan 3, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.0KJan 2, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.