Key-Alteration
0x086acbe214d18453f10f11d67a45c61f19409c11
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$14.22
Total PnL
$-39.56
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
5 shares @ 19.6¢·now 86.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.43
$3.43
- NO
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.02
$0.02
- YES
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.23
$-2.77
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.73
$0.73
- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2 shares @ 44.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.97
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump sue Michael Wolff by March 31?
8 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Spurs
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$6.15Mar 26, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.32Mar 26, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.21Mar 24, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5$11.95Mar 23, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYYokkaichi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Ognjen Milic$1.00Mar 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCalifornia Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5$6.00Mar 19, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5$1.00Mar 19, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$1.52Mar 19, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears$1.00Mar 19, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$1.33Mar 15, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMVirginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils$1.37Mar 15, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVirginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devils$1.00Mar 15, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs$1.00Mar 15, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 244.5$1.00Mar 15, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5$1.85Mar 15, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5$1.00Mar 14, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Jonas Forejtek$2.04Mar 12, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Jonas Forejtek$1.00Mar 11, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-5.5)$1.00Mar 11, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Jonas Forejtek$1.00Mar 11, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".