Lumpy-Toy
0x086bb3345abeac0c17e8674f78da7ccf9d84880d
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$164.60
Total PnL
$-329.97
Realised
$32.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
XRP all time high by March 31?
83 shares @ 32.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$83.45
$56.05
- YES
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?
81 shares @ 61.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$81.15
$31.15
- NO
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?
335 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?
267 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?
158 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-104.28
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
140 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
"It's Scripted" KC Comeback Parlay
93 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Tate tweet 180-199 times Jan 24-31?
80 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.70
- YES
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?
50 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?$10.00Feb 10, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY"It's Scripted" KC Comeback Parlay$10.00Feb 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?$200.00Feb 10, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?$10.00Feb 10, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Tate tweet less than 160 times Jan 24-31?$0.00Feb 10, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP all time high by January 31?$289.99Feb 10, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 24-31?$0.00Feb 10, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?$50.00Feb 10, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$50.00Feb 10, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$104.28Feb 1, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP all time high by March 31?$64.00Feb 1, 04:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.87Feb 1, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP all time high by March 31?$8.00Jan 31, 19:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jan 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 24-31?$48.32Jan 30, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate tweet 180-199 times Jan 24-31?$10.50Jan 30, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Tate tweet 180-199 times Jan 24-31?$7.20Jan 30, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 24-31?$8.75Jan 30, 00:28 UTC
- REWARD$0.83Jan 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 24-31?$14.88Jan 29, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $30.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".