Jolly-Chaplain
0x08730443345e11c078c5b2597ce3c0f06af609e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$201.85
Total PnL
$140.24
Realised
$146.58
Win rate
100%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
31108 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$46.66
$15.55
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
8120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.18
$4.06
- YES
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
7905 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.86
$3.95
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$3.33
- YES
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
15554 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.78
$-7.78
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13332 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.67
$-6.67
- YES
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
9999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
3324 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.99
$1.66
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.44
$-4.44
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.44
$-4.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in June?$0.02Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?$4.65Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?$0.00Jun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.22Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.09Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.16Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.65Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.67Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in June?$0.06Jun 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$0.01Jun 13, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?$0.14Jun 13, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$0.00Jun 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?$0.01Jun 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in June?$0.23Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in June?$0.02Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?$0.17Jun 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$0.13Jun 13, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.