Grim-Masonry
0x087726bab8fbcbed2a0c6f1fa0ba69e0c1d46770
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$15.95
Total PnL
$-322.65
Realised
$11.61
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
37 shares @ 38.3¢·now 43.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.95
$1.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 12?
484 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-38.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 13?
294 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 10?
133 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-14.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C or higher on April 13?
104 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.15
- YES
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
96 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 80°F or higher on April 13?
76 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C or higher on April 13?
74 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 13?
69 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 10?
68 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.