Fatal-Reflection
0x087769ac3ab830f28401018a79051beaf098fa92
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$5.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
18262 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-219.98
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025?
12846 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-298.22
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?
5658 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-423.62
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3300 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2154 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-197.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
230 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-89.70
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
222 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Beige Book" during the FED board meeting on October 24?
175 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?
172 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.00Mar 9, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.00Mar 9, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.00Mar 9, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo get between 15% and 20% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa get more than 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill TCU win the 2025 Big 12 Championship Game?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Columbus Crew win the 2025 MLS Cup?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle Sounders FC win the 2025 MLS Cup?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wake Forest win the 2025 ACC Conference Championship Game?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill The MongolZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo get less than 15% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oregon win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Texas A&M make the College Football Playoff?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iowa State make the College Football Playoff?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Missouri win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMPengu above $0.05 on November 30?$5.00Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 13:47 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".