Candid-Shearling
0x087832036d877284a544d4b4d45bc0ce27a97b50
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
67
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-4.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 30?
518 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$514.93
$-1.81
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on July 29?
438 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$438.26
$0.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 40°C or higher on July 29?
300 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$299.85
$0.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 30?
300 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$299.40
$-0.30
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 24°C on July 29?
294 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$293.41
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on July 29?
294 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$293.40
$-0.36
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on July 30?
271 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$270.32
$-0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 30?
226 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$225.09
$-0.34
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 29?
221 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$221.18
$0.23
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?
215 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$214.89
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 29?$0.82Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on July 29?$4.98Jul 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on July 29?$49.67Jul 28, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or below on July 28?$100.00Jul 28, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 28?$22.74Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or below on July 28?$201.99Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 28?$194.99Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 28?$374.73Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on July 28?$200.00Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 28?$94.00Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 28?$100.00Jul 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on July 29?$46.88Jul 28, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on July 29?$129.47Jul 28, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or below on July 30?$99.81Jul 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 30?$29.71Jul 28, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C or higher on July 29?$61.73Jul 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 30?$199.81Jul 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 30?$99.90Jul 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on July 30?$99.90Jul 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 30?$299.71Jul 28, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $124.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.