Uneven-Cupboard
0x087b6e5acf15a5af9eca191003bc7c91e584615a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$47.81
Total PnL
$-1.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$40.49
$0.49
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.23
$1.23
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3.00Mar 10, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$3.00Mar 10, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$40.00Feb 6, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?$2.11Jan 15, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?$2.00Nov 3, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$20.45Nov 3, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$123.96Nov 3, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 26, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$100.00Oct 26, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$101.11Oct 26, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$20.00Oct 24, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$3.00Oct 24, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$2.00Oct 23, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$20.00Oct 23, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$2.00Oct 23, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$100.00Oct 23, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$130.65Jan 25, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$130.00Jan 5, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$44.04Jan 5, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$44.00Dec 9, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $259.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 11:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.