Unsteady-Likeness
0x088f8e0ec7585ad254f2812b485e6e73284d131b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$58.61
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-252.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$24.86
$5.11
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
25 shares @ 47.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.88
$-0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 21?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$8.00
$0.88
- NO
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$0.24
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
10223 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.11
$-244.88
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 22.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$2.95
$0.75
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
15 shares @ 21.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.50
$-1.65
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13224 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-819.89
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
1000 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-392.50
- YES
Will Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-56.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 120m and 125m?$25.00Jul 21, 09:21 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$23.00Jul 20, 10:25 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.47Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$52.48Jul 20, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$209.60Jul 19, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$106.56Jul 19, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$338.49Jul 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$31.35Jul 19, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.89Jul 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.50Jul 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jul 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.72Jul 19, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.52Jul 19, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.0KJul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$681.05Jul 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.86Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$3.38Jul 19, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$404.42Jul 19, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner$5.13Jul 19, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $54.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.