Coarse-Regime
0x08928f1e22396bfb249baaf1626c41ed0acc7c15
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-232.16
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 3?
1416 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
279 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
202 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-94.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
200 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-77.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
200 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-110.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
200 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-115.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
191 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-45.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
190 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-64.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
185 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-91.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$8.00Aug 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.10Aug 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$6.97Aug 18, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$16.00Aug 18, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.14Aug 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.22Aug 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.69Aug 17, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$8.00Aug 17, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.52Aug 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5.48Aug 17, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$8.00Aug 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.68Aug 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.92Aug 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$4.22Aug 17, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$8.00Aug 17, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$3.66Aug 17, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$41.26Aug 17, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$6.80Aug 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.89Aug 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.02Aug 17, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.