Smug-Income
0x089d154e1519cd4563c098c23e2c734c6b7b00c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-113.62
Realised
$0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
46 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.12
$-4.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
3 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
2 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$4.60Mar 19, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.60Mar 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3.97Mar 19, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$2.40Mar 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$2.00Mar 19, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.24Mar 19, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$2.00Mar 19, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$3.33Mar 19, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$3.20Mar 19, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.29Mar 19, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2.00Mar 19, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.91Mar 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.80Mar 19, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.80Mar 19, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.12Mar 17, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 17, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$3.13Mar 17, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 10:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.