Acclaimed-Latency
0x08a6702b91efea0141916e602e5d07e78db8f6fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$21.91
Total PnL
$-523.86
Realised
$-15.21
Win rate
0%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
18 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.58
$0.26
- YES
Will it rain in Houston, TX on August 19?
11 shares @ 7.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$5.34
$4.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?
88 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.94
- YES
Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
87 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.41
- YES
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
73 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?
63 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-44.50
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 8?
61 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.58
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
51 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
51 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia?
51 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 19?$10.89Aug 20, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill it rain in Houston, TX on August 19?$0.75Aug 20, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 19?$7.62Aug 19, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 19?$10.60Aug 19, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?$1.39Aug 19, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 19?$1.59Aug 19, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 18?$0.86Aug 18, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 18?$2.39Aug 18, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 14?$22.75Aug 14, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?$10.00Aug 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?$7.59Aug 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres$1.81Aug 12, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?$19.55Aug 12, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?$16.11Aug 12, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?$1.18Aug 12, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 11?$13.00Aug 12, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?$100.00Aug 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 11?$9.24Aug 11, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 11?$97.15Aug 11, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10?$60.00Aug 10, 22:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 68 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
68 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.