Valid-Penicillin
0x08b2e3859cd1e34a8160287b784167390d33302d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
2000 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$2.0K
$420.60
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
700 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$700.00
$154.00
- NO
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.00
$0.36
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.31
$0.31
- NO
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
4 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.15
$0.25
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.82
$1.32
- NO
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$3.59
$0.29
- NO
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$182.15Mar 24, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$133.82Mar 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.74Mar 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.74Mar 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.74Mar 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$110.46Mar 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.74Mar 24, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$32.00Mar 24, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.1KMar 24, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.41Mar 20, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Mar 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$312.00Mar 10, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$234.00Mar 10, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?$1.20Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.03Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be less than $750M at market close on IPO day?$2.13Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.46Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$2.60Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$2.75Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$3.08Mar 10, 11:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $130.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.