Hopeful-Realization
0x08ce6ffb64562ec4bc2ba87a1dcb4b16ac5b1e83
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Lucy Guo arrested before April?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Matty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
6 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$2.0KMay 11, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$396.81May 10, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$1.6KMay 10, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 6, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$2.0KMay 6, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?$2.0KMay 6, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.47May 6, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Oct 14, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.45Oct 14, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$6.23Oct 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.00Jul 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$6.00Jul 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.00Jul 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Jul 15, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?$46.36Jul 15, 20:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$103.21Jul 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sydney Sweeney break up with her fiancé before April?$1.00Mar 8, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMatty's UFC 313 Money Line Parlay$1.00Mar 8, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLucy Guo arrested before April?$1.00Mar 8, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $253.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".