Hilarious-Happening
0x08d5014d7e286e4e243d5c2ddfc43c08843b1cbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-988.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
5603 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
770 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: January
757 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-360.10
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
350 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-301.00
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
100 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.40
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$16.83May 11, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?$102.34May 10, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$6.64May 10, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$7.24May 10, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Cuba by January 31?$293.47Apr 25, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the RSF capture El Obeid by January 31?$16.69Feb 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$214.66Feb 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMInsurrection Act invoked by January 31?$236.26Feb 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$239.63Feb 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$298.85Feb 2, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 4 days or more?$0.60Feb 2, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$26.40Feb 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 31, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?$69.56Jan 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$298.80Jan 31, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Strike on Israel by January 31?$335.60Jan 31, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 31, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$143.25Jan 28, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$61.75Jan 27, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$300.00Jan 27, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $127.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.