Probable-Chateau
0x08d944ae94304c9b86dfe0e03948bcbfa02ee285
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-30.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
402 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-201.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
259 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-219.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
255 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-127.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
198 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-98.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11AM ET
162 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-81.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on January 10?
154 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
125 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-62.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
106 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00May 22, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.48May 22, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$4.12May 20, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$4.01May 20, 14:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00May 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$10.00May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$18.00May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.50May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$7.27May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.23May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$3.00May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.75May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$31.00May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.57May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.67May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$16.02May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$40.88May 17, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.57May 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$5.95May 17, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 04:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".