Frugal-Pincenez
0x08da2aad59f010505f0c669acb5a31879de8fab4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$2.21
Total PnL
$-120.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
570 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
332 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NETS
Spread: Raptors (-22.5)
217 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-112.75
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Apr 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00Apr 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raptors (-22.5)$114.40Apr 12, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in March?$9.05Apr 12, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in March?$9.00Mar 4, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.00Mar 4, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?$2.01Mar 4, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.01Mar 4, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 27, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?$2.00Feb 27, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 27, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $13.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 08:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.