Blind-Cohesion
0x08db58b03c470ed1fe3490125cd43e4c921f400a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$11.18
Total PnL
$-57.67
Realised
$-3.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
40 shares @ 23.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.18
$1.62
- YES
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
103 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel invade Iran before July?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
11 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$7.39Jun 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.46Jun 19, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on March 25?$7.35May 29, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 25?$1.10Mar 24, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on March 25?$5.00Mar 24, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$3.50Mar 23, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.17Mar 22, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.25Mar 22, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.93Mar 22, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Florida Gators (-13.5)$2.00Mar 22, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.59Mar 22, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?$0.00Mar 22, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.