Probable-Fairy
0x08e0a6281ae5e1ab5defc55caaee74e1b8b6b7b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$742.17
Total PnL
$-217.88
Realised
$-67.54
Win rate
62%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
150 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$150.00
$1.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?
61 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$61.00
$1.34
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
54 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$54.00
$14.04
- NO
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
49 shares @ 89.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$49.00
$5.24
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
45 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$45.00
$5.43
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
42 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$42.48
$2.79
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
41 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$41.00
$6.56
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
40 shares @ 85.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.00
$5.92
- NO
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
40 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$39.68
$0.83
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
39 shares @ 88.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$39.00
$4.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.00Feb 25, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.00Feb 25, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.00Feb 25, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.00Feb 25, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$18.92Feb 25, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$6.60Feb 25, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$74.25Feb 24, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$74.25Feb 24, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$4.48Feb 24, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$1.00Feb 24, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$20.48Feb 24, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$1.01Feb 24, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$2.02Feb 24, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$5.60Feb 24, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?$44.87Feb 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$14.61Feb 24, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$46.86Feb 23, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$6.96Feb 23, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$67.36Feb 23, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$14.43Feb 23, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $16.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 20:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.