Drafty-Assistance
0x08e0bb7f0c4daac005b1d07f8e634a0148ee592f
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$359.29
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$-3.9K
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
397 shares @ 50.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$359.29
$160.78
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1555 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-777.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
1336 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-26.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1279 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.58
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
1250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-625.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
1129 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-564.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
1125 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1094 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1080 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
1022 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$37.95Jul 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$8.00Jul 12, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.00Jul 11, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.00Jul 11, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$5.12Jul 11, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$5.44Jul 11, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.00Jul 11, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$3.00Jul 11, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$1.01Jul 11, 07:50 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$397.00Jul 10, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$118.06Jul 4, 00:30 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$822.00Jul 3, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$753.00Jul 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$85.02Jul 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$25.13Jul 1, 16:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$753.00Jul 1, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$665.00Jun 25, 07:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05Jun 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$72.13Jun 19, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$4.84Jun 19, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $55.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 06:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.