Wallet digest

active

Activity score

40/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

166

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.8K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 166

UP
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
172 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-72.79
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
168 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026
$0.00
$-69.64
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
159 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-74.81
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
154 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-68.75
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
154 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-68.35
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
150 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-67.58
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
149 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-68.56
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
125 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-57.42
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
120 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026
$0.00
$-57.92
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 4, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026
$0.00
$-49.88

Recent activity

REFERRAL_REWARD$9.54Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$4.80Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$52.85Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$152.04Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$110.03Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$100.26Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$123.51Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$185.37Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$204.47Jun 5, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$148.05Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$76.61Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$60.81Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$24.30Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$21.31May 31, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$40.22May 30, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$73.28May 29, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$141.31May 28, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$47.72May 27, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$85.58May 26, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$6.74May 25, 00:35 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

3/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

14/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

pass

2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity12 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry92 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 2
Avg trade size: $3.42
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 13, 13:28 UTC
Last active: Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:59:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data