Political-Interconnection
0x08ea7a7bfbe26a061191093e098ac5c6d74d0751
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
400 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?
375 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- OVER
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5
328 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-301.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- OVER
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- OVER
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5
185 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- OVER
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-99.98
- UNDER
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5
185 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- OVER
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$101.36Jun 21, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$2.43Jun 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$10.28Jun 21, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5$70.94Jun 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5$37.89Jun 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$30.83Jun 18, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5$135.80Jun 17, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5$51.11Jun 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5$20.44Jun 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5$30.67Jun 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 4.5$101.29Jun 16, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5$130.22Jun 16, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5$38.92Jun 16, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5$50.91Jun 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5$50.93Jun 16, 01:08 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.33Jun 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$15.43Jun 15, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$14.56Jun 15, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$183.34Jun 15, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$118.42Jun 15, 16:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $116.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 17:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.