Tough-Expectancy
0x08f4de71139943432053783b522d5cb906ee401f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$12.59
Total PnL
$-731.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$12.59
$7.68
- LIU SHARKS
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats
10573 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-199.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- IDAHO VANDALS
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars
3780 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-109.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- TCU HORNED FROGS
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils
208 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-27.94
- PRAIRIE VIEW A&M PANTHERS
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
154 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$0.00Apr 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$5.00Apr 9, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$5.00Apr 9, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$0.00Apr 9, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$70.17Apr 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.39Apr 9, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.26Apr 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Apr 9, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00Mar 28, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPurdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats$50.00Mar 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$50.00Mar 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.83Mar 22, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 06:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.