Hospitable-Toenail
0x08faa253cc4525c0d00c7bbe1dd399f31afa69e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$65.35
Total PnL
$-47.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 30.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$65.35
$45.35
- YES
Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?
411 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
165 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
70 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
54 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 11 ET?
21 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$20.00Nov 11, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?$20.00Nov 11, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla before September 16 ET?$0.00Oct 31, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$0.00Oct 31, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$0.00Oct 31, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$0.00Oct 31, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$0.00Oct 31, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$1.11Oct 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$6.95Oct 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$8.09Oct 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$35.14Oct 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$10.00Oct 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$20.00Oct 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$50.00Oct 13, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$295.55Oct 13, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?$0.05Oct 13, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$300.00Oct 13, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?$10.00Oct 12, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$0.00Sep 25, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 7+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$14.93Sep 25, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.