Frail-Arthur
0x08fab278af4084cff4a5f71da8b42a02c3fd77be
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 14?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on June 3?
301 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on March 13?
249 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 8?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
153 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3600 in September?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
47 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$77.08Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$77.00Jun 4, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?$58.06Jun 2, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$19.02Jun 1, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 2?$58.00Jun 1, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on June 3?$1.07Jun 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$19.00Jun 1, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$78.08May 27, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$78.00May 25, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?$78.08May 20, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?$78.01May 19, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$78.23May 12, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$78.01May 12, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$78.08May 12, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$78.00May 7, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?$78.08May 7, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?$78.01May 4, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?$77.07May 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?$77.00Apr 28, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$77.07Apr 28, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $60.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.