Past-Disk
0x08fc6b28a58b52837e2dc171a700339b369199f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$45.48
Total PnL
$-854.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 22?
32 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$31.34
$-0.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$11.89
$-0.01
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
900 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.25
$-2.25
- UP
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 3?
1850 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-832.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 3AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?$11.90Jul 22, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 22?$31.51Jul 22, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 20?$12.42Jul 20, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.20 on July 18?$31.83Jul 19, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 20?$12.40Jul 18, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.20 on July 18?$31.71Jul 18, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17?$13.73Jul 17, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?$31.76Jul 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17?$13.70Jul 17, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?$31.70Jul 17, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 16?$33.67Jul 16, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 16?$12.46Jul 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 16?$12.40Jul 16, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 16?$33.60Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 15?$30.89Jul 15, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?$12.86Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?$12.80Jul 15, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 15?$30.81Jul 15, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 14?$12.42Jul 15, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?$32.46Jul 14, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $22.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.