Gaseous-Metaphor
0x08fca4872969fa81e7460f8eae714cdb899b083e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$32.04
Total PnL
$-9.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.74
$1.74
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.30
$0.30
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
13209 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.7K
- HORNETS
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
5570 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.00May 17, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 17, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-4.5)$213.87May 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-4.5)$100.00Apr 22, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Raptors (-1.5)$6.1KMar 12, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Clippers (-1.5)$6.7KMar 11, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raptors (-1.5)$3.0KMar 11, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pistons (-14.5)$5.3KMar 11, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-14.5)$2.7KMar 10, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Hornets (-3.5)$2.7KMar 10, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMFabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.01Mar 10, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.30Mar 10, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$3.02Mar 10, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Feb 25, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$3.00Feb 25, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?$1.37Feb 25, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$1.52Feb 25, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $412,000 by February 1?$1.65Feb 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?$1.30Jan 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$1.50Jan 29, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".