Wary-Likelihood
0x08fe221f7cd41614f5ef2a45e1b3050985ca1997
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-585.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
518 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-104.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
445 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-201.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
196 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
170 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-101.66
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Hawks
95 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-49.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
93 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
90 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-49.32
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
84 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-49.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
67 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-22.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.00Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$4.68Apr 24, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$100.00Apr 24, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLAvalanche vs. Kings$120.13Apr 24, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Kings$76.00Apr 23, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Timberwolves$50.00Apr 23, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Raptors$50.00Apr 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Hawks$50.00Apr 23, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$10.00Apr 23, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$100.00Apr 23, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$100.00Apr 23, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$6.00Apr 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Apr 23, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$0.00Apr 23, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $41.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.