Key-Optimist
0x09017dc0c07c95e06ed9eca5caae19f10b8b8224
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-222.82
Realised
$-101.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
49024 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-99.91
- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
1406 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will voter turnout be 65–68% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
740 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?$0.00May 5, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.18Apr 15, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win 100–109 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.00Apr 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.25Apr 13, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?$0.00Apr 13, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.17Apr 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.81Apr 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.80Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 12, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$1.47Apr 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 03:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.