Lost-Clogs
0x09029fa4c1a687c316a1391a550958d7ec9d7752
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-372.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Chelsea wins the Premier League?
2915 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?
2500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
1923 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
1362 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?
715 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
592 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
384 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
325 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 36-42 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 18-24 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 24-30 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 30-36 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 12-18 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 50-60 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 42-50 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill it take Jerry 6-12 hours to hit a hole in one?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump appeal his hush money conviction?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,500 by January 31, 2025?$0.00Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US annual inflation be 2.8% in December?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill US annual inflation be 2.6% or less in December?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill US annual inflation be 2.7% in December?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMRangers vs. Avalanche$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMCanucks vs. Jets$0.00Jan 30, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $13.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 04:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.