0x090740a857bfc502fb6690f4adb7b595d71251ed
0x090740a857bfc502fb6690f4adb7b595d71251ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-187.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Dogecoin above $0.24 on May 23?
120 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-64.80
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 21?
115 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 21?
35 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 24?
35 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
- GUJARAT
Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-11.40
- YES
Will Jimmy Patronis win by 20-25%?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- LUCKNOW
Delhi Capitals vs Lucknow Super Giants
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Education" during today's event with the Governor of Louisiana?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Brutal" or "Brutally" during events with South African President on May 21?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.24 on May 23?$64.80May 22, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "White farmer" during events with South African President on May 21?$65.00May 22, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Brutal" or "Brutally" during events with South African President on May 21?$3.05May 21, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$2.90May 21, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$2.30May 21, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitals$1.80May 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitals$1.80May 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "White farmer" during events with South African President on May 21?$43.55May 20, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$45.00May 20, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$18.90May 19, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$5.40May 19, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Susan Crawford win by 2-4%?$25.00May 19, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Patronis win by 20-25%?$3.40Apr 1, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Susan Crawford win by 2-4%?$21.00Apr 1, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 24?$25.00Mar 26, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 24?$1.75Mar 24, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Education" during today's event with the Governor of Louisiana?$3.90Mar 24, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings$11.40Mar 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMCanada election called by Sunday?$5.00Mar 24, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 24?$20.75Mar 23, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $13.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.