Mild-Messy
0x090a2155492de6339a87a38055f23af8fccdbc3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$61.31
Total PnL
$-1.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$8.82
$0.01
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.10
$-0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.67
$0.00
- NO
Will Microsoft have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.66
$0.00
- NO
Will Amazon have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.08
$-0.01
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $460 on June 2?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on June 2?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.48
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 2?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.47
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.40
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?$1.05Jun 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?$1.40Jun 2, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$7.10Jun 2, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $460 on June 2?$1.90Jun 2, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.66Jun 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.67Jun 2, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.09Jun 2, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on June 2?$1.33Jun 2, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on June 2?$1.48Jun 2, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?$8.81Jun 2, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?$1.36Jun 2, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 2?$1.47Jun 2, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$25.01Jun 2, 10:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 24, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$125.52Jan 23, 20:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 23, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 22, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".