Fearless-Macro
0x09105ee0e2f7aea8e01bdf966bb0e31798a7fadf
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$102.75
Total PnL
$15.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.10
$4.10
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
14 shares @ 69.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.39
$4.39
- NO
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.08
$4.08
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.83
$0.83
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.51
$0.51
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.30
$0.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$30.77Jun 3, 12:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$5.07May 27, 05:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$9.36May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00May 18, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $7.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".