Muddy-Sculpture
0x092142491b152f9ba730b95d5c574e3c57ad8634
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$69.43
Total PnL
$-125.31
Realised
$42.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
47 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$46.51
$6.51
- NO
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$4.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 14.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.92
$1.72
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
480 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
280 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.80
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
133 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
82 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-25.60
- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
70 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
54 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
50 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.20Aug 19, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.76Aug 18, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.19Aug 18, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.10Aug 16, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$16.00Aug 16, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.22Aug 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.03Aug 15, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?$9.00Aug 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$4.72Aug 9, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$11.20Aug 4, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$5.60Aug 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$5.60Aug 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next James Bond be British?$10.00Jul 31, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$29.50Jul 19, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.60Jul 19, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$5.60Jul 19, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$19.20Jul 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$20.00Jul 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?$97.68Jul 16, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.32Jul 15, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.