Probable-Alpenhorn
0x092a6871eb5572b9f0cb4305a1283e5996ec7f17
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$37.50
Total PnL
$6.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Real Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$10.00
$5.40
- RED SOX
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$7.00
$3.57
- KO
Goff vs. Ko
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$5.50
$0.00
- MAGNY
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santos
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$5.00
$3.20
- YES
Will anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$5.00
$2.20
- YES
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$5.00
$1.65
- YES
Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-08-24?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- MOVISTAR KOI
League of Legends: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. UCAM Esports Club
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRed Sox vs. Diamondbacks$3.43Sep 7, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-08-24?$4.50Aug 24, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: Movistar KOI Fénix vs. UCAM Esports Club$2.65Aug 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Streaming" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?$2.80Aug 11, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vienna host Eurovision 2026?$3.35Aug 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santos$1.80Jul 31, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4PM ET$2.50Jul 13, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid vs. Juventus: 3+ Goals Scored? $4.60Jun 30, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150k in April?$1.10Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in April?$1.30Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in April?$1.30Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NDP win between 21 and 25 seats in the next Canadian Election?$1.30Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$1.40Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$1.50Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?$1.61Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$2.10Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jaguars make the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$2.20Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$2.31Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMRomious vs. Lee$10.00Jun 12, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoff vs. Ko$5.50May 28, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 7, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".