New-Creditor
0x092c646affdac738c981e715e132cf9295c55bb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-118.92
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- ALGERIA
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)
7250 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- INDIANA FEVER
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever
3764 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
3000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-450.00
- ATLANTA DREAM
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx
1438 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-440.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?
1363 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
1053 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia?
615 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
577 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$5.93Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Algeria (-1.5)$3.0KJun 23, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?$102.73Jun 22, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?$102.67Jun 22, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$8.5KJun 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$2.9KJun 22, 00:52 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.40Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5)$6.1KJun 20, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5)$3.0KJun 20, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)$6.1KJun 20, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)$3.2KJun 20, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)$5.1KJun 20, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Toronto Tempo (-1.5)$2.7KJun 19, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever$152.16Jun 18, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever$1.8KJun 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$461.48Jun 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)$2.8KJun 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$204.86Jun 18, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)$1.5KJun 18, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$153.33Jun 17, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.