Subtle-Greenhouse-Category
0x094083e2a805e5e890008f439039c56d8ccc15b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
112
Open notional
$8.87
Total PnL
$-163.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.59
$1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.64
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.44
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.42
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.14
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.63
$-1.04
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 23?
941 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 31?
21 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 23?$1.72Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 24?$1.21Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$1.52Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$1.32Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?$1.16Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 23?$1.72Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 23?$1.47Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?$1.06Jul 22, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 22?$1.57Jul 21, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 20?$5.07Jul 20, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 20?$5.08Jul 20, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 20?$1.21Jul 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21?$1.11Jul 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 21?$1.47Jul 20, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?$1.88Jul 20, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?$5.05Jul 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 20?$1.57Jul 19, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 20?$1.42Jul 19, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?$1.00Jul 19, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?$1.06Jul 19, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.