Earnest-Muscatel
0x09459e4a19837ab7f74432c0bd5f49006a5ede0f
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$10.69
Total PnL
$-78.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
74 shares @ 2.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$4.12
$2.12
- YES
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$3.18
$1.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
107 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will White House post 40-59 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will White House post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.0010h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.6410h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.4511h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.0311h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.0211h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.8511h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.0411h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.0311h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.0411h ago
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.0311h ago
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.0311h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.0311h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.4411h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.9211h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.0411h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.9511h ago
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.9011h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.0311h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.0311h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12h ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
