Optimistic-Performance-Encyclopedia
0x0949d0c20774811fdb36cd97370c3f12be5aed72
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.04
Total PnL
$-0.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.11
$-0.09
- YES
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
8 shares @ 27.5¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.08
$-0.12
- NO
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
3 shares @ 42.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.64
$0.54
- YES
Will United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 95.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.08
$-0.02
- YES
Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.07
$-0.03
- NO
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.06
$-0.04
- YES
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.51
$-0.59
- YES
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.49
$-0.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?$1.11Jul 30, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections?$1.11Jul 30, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.14Jul 30, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.12Jul 30, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.14Jul 30, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.12Jul 30, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.14Jul 30, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.12Jul 30, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.12Jul 30, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?$1.14Jul 30, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Apr 30, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET$0.90Apr 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET$1.12Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.76Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.14Apr 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.84Apr 30, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1.17Apr 30, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.61Apr 30, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.06Apr 30, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.12Apr 30, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.