Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-160.40

Realised

$-7.89

Win rate

16 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
364 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.00
$-17.00
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
124 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026
$0.00
$-25.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
115 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.00
$-28.85
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
48 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026
$0.00
$-12.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
46 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026
$0.00
$-8.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
37 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026
$0.00
$-4.66
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
34 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026
$0.00
$-7.00
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00

Recent activity

REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Jul 6, 02:32 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$10.12Jul 6, 02:27 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.61Jul 6, 02:22 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$15.69Jul 6, 02:20 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$10.48Jul 6, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$2.11Jul 6, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.97Jun 30, 18:22 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$2.11Jun 30, 18:20 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.50Jun 30, 18:20 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$15.71Jun 30, 18:20 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.14Jun 30, 18:19 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.33Jun 30, 18:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$10.61Jun 30, 18:17 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Jun 29, 21:16 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.33Jun 29, 21:11 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$12.57Jun 29, 21:10 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$5.24Jun 29, 21:07 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Jun 29, 21:06 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$49.02Jun 29, 21:05 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$20.83Jun 29, 21:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

40/100

read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

0% win rate over 16 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

pass

39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.

Resolved-only track record

review

16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence53 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk38 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $8.56
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 29, 19:38 UTC
Last active: Jul 6, 02:32 UTC
Win rate sample: 16 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:49:20 UTC·src:Polymarket Data